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Labor
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Bureau of Labour Statistics
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Monthly
Units
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The U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) is a key indicator from the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ (BLS) monthly Employment Situation Report, measuring the change in the number of jobs added or lost in the non-agricultural sector during the previous month, excluding farmers, self-employed individuals, private household employees, nonprofit organization workers, and certain government employees. It serves as a critical gauge of the U.S. labor market’s health and economic activity, typically released on the first Friday of each month, covering metrics such as job growth, unemployment rate, average hourly earnings, and labor force participation rate.
NFP data is a vital reference for the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decisions, with its strength directly impacting interest rate expectations, the U.S. dollar exchange rate, and global financial market volatility. Higher-than-expected data is generally bullish for the USD, signaling a robust economy and increased consumer spending, while lower-than-expected data is bearish, indicating economic weakness and affecting market confidence.
Key economic releases are due in the first week of September 2025. On Monday, 1 September at 01:45 GMT, the Caixin Manufacturing PMI for August is expected at 50, up from 49.5 in July.
The US July Nonfarm Payrolls data revealed a slowdown in job growth, leading to a shift in market expectations regarding Federal Reserve rate cuts and volatility in gold prices and the US dollar.
US Treasury traders are keenly awaiting the July non-farm payroll data to assess the labor market's strength and its influence on the Federal Reserve's decisions regarding interest rate cuts.
This article examines the market's anticipation for the July Non-Farm Payrolls report and its potential influence on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions, focusing on the challenges facing the labor market and varying analyst predictions.
Economic data releases begin on Monday, 30 June at 12:00 GMT, with Germany’s preliminary inflation rate for June expected to rise slightly to 2.2% from May’s 2.1%, driven by seasonal energy and service price pressures.
Upcoming nonfarm payroll revisions: as we approach the annual revisions of the nonfarm payroll (NFP) data, market participants are bracing for potential volatility.
Nonfarm Payroll (NFP) report: the Nonfarm Payroll (NFP) report is one of the most closely watched economic indicators in the United States, providing insights into the health of the labor market.
Gold breaks resistance: gold prices have recently broken through key resistance levels, prompting speculation about further upward movement.
Nonfarm payrolls: as the market prepares for the release of the Nonfarm Payroll (NFP) report, expectations are leaning toward a "neutral" performance that may not be sufficient to prompt immediate action from the Federal Reserve.
Investors will be looking to the usual suspects to deliver the heavy lifting for equities.
The nonfarm payrolls report could act as a catalyst for the yen's continued rise, potentially driving it past the levels reached during the global market turmoil on August 5.
Markets have been flighty, nervy and choppy this week – recession concerns are rising after some soft data and the US nonfarm payrolls report ahead today.
Markets are fragile this week ahead of the US nonfarm payrolls report, which is key for determining the size of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cut.
Non-farm payrolls or a strong performance of the dollar might lead to a turnaround; options traders are shifting to a bearish outlook on the euro
The dollar index (DXY) surged on Friday following data indicating that the largest global economy added more jobs than anticipated last month, potentially suggesting that the U.S.
Central banks are back in action this week with the Reserve Bank of Australia and Reserve Bank of New Zealand – one set to pause and the other likely to hike.
The US labour market holds the key once more as market participants look to see how employment is holding up in the wake of the Fed’s rate hikes. The monthly nonfarm payrolls returns are on Friday - after January’s monster report blew apart expectations that the Fed would seek to pivot soon. Meanwhile, attention is on global central banks, with the Reserve Bank of Australia, Bank of Canada and Bank of Japan all in action.
The US nonfarm payrolls report is the highlight for traders this week as it should deliver a steer on what the Federal Reserve might do next after last week’s comments from Jay Powell at Jackson Hole. Market pricing suggests a roughly 50/50 chance the Fed will go for 75bps at its September 21st meeting, but […]
Global markets were concentrating on the Federal Reserve’s meeting last week which saw a second consecutive 75 basis points interest rates hike. No hints were given to investors in which direction the Fed will move in September, as Fed Chair Jerome Powell noted that it is now time to analyse the incoming data. So, this […]
Market attention shifts to the US labour market with the latest nonfarm payrolls release and wage data which could see further upwards pressure on inflation. Oil markets are looking to the next OPEC+ meeting and on the central bank front it’s the turn of the Bank of Canada to raise rates in an effort to […]
Stock markets in Europe are broadly weaker at the start of trade after something of a steadying for Wall Street following Wednesday’s capitulation for tech stocks. Minutes from the Fed’s December meeting have set the tone for a higher rate environment this year, something markets have been adjusting to anyway to a large extent. Today sees the US nonfarm […]
The next five days is a big week full of big meetings. On the data front, it’s nonfarm payrolls time. Will we see a reversal of fortune for US labour markets? We’ve also central bank meetings in the form of Bank of England and Federal Reserve summits. A new month means a new OPEC-JMMC meeting […]
Another weak jobs report shows job growth starting to stale in the world’s largest economy. Nonfarm payrolls US economy added 194,000 jobs in September US jobs growth slowed two months in a row according to today’s nonfarm payrolls report. Nonfarm payrolls rose by 194,000 in September, falling way below the Dow Jones estimate of 500,000. […]
It’s all about major economic movers this week. The US jobs report for August is released on Friday, while we kick off the week with the latest Chinese manufacturing PMI numbers. OPEC and allies are due to hold meetings too, making it a busy week for the global economy. The US jobs market has taken us to […]
The US economy added 943,000 new jobs in July according to today’s nonfarm payrolls print. A strong month for US jobs The unemployment rate fell to 5.4% according to the US Bureau of Statistics as hiring rose at its highest rate for nearly a year last month. The payroll increase was also the largest since […]
A busy week is ahead of us as the Bank of England meets for the first time this year amid speculation around negative rates and criticism of its QE programme. Earnings season continues, led by Amazon and Alphabet, and January nonfarm payrolls are released, following December’s decline.
OPEC and allies gather this week to discuss how best to proceed in what has been a very challenging year for oil. How will this affect energy markets moving forward? US Nonfarm Payroll data for November is also revealed, showcasing how many, if any, new jobs have entered the US economy last month.
Blonde Money Founder and CEO Helen Thomas explains the political impact of today’s US nonfarm payrolls report – how will President Trump use a positive or negative print to his advantage with the 2020 US Presidential Election edging closer? Catch more insight from Helen every week with Blonde Markets on XRay.
US nonfarm payrolls US nonfarm payroll data for September rounds off the week. The figures released last month smashed expectations after clocking in at 266k versus expectations of a 180k print. Average hourly earnings missed expectations on a month-by-month basis, but annualised growth came in above forecasts at 3.1%. Forecasts this time around are for […]
Welcome to your guide to the week ahead in the markets. China trade talks are ushered in by PMI data, Eurozone inflation results and US nonfarm payroll reports. US nonfarm payrolls The set-piece US labour market report on Friday is the main eco event for market watchers. Signs of a slowdown in employment growth are […]
May’s last day, Mexico trade standoff, US jobs, Yuan looks to 7 And so, the time has come for Theresa May to shuffle off. Except she won’t quite as she will remain on as a caretaker PM. Boris Johnson is frontrunner.
