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How Trump's Tariffs Impact USD to MXN and CAD USD Rate Forecast

Jan 27, 2025
4 min read
Table of Contents
  • 1. Mexican Peso Declines Amid Tariff Threats
  • 2. Canadian Dollar Weakens in Parallel
  • 3. Why Trump's Tariffs Are Fueling Currency Volatility
  • 4. Potential Long-Term Effects on the USD to MXN and CAD USD Rate
  • 5. Mexican Peso
  • 6. Canadian Dollar
  • 7. Navigating Forex Markets in the Face of Tariffs
  • 8. Conclusion

MXN bills with a graph showing USD to MXN forecast trends.

The global forex market faced significant turbulence as U.S. President Donald Trump's tariffs reshaped currency dynamics. Two major players, the Mexican peso and the Canadian dollar, saw sharp declines, underscoring the expected impact of Trump tariffs on these currencies.


 

Mexican Peso Declines Amid Tariff Threats


The Mexican peso faced sharp depreciation, with the USD to MXN forecast reflecting a significant rise in the pair. The USD/MXN rate surged 1.1%, reaching 20.4949 pesos per dollar. Such movement underscores the peso's vulnerability to external economic pressures, particularly from its largest trading partner, the United States.

The usd to mxn forecast remains volatile as fears grow over potential tariff hikes. Trump's decision to impose a 25% tariff on Colombian imports is viewed as a precursor to further actions against Mexico. The peso's depreciation reflects investor concerns about escalating trade disputes and their potential impact on the Mexican economy.


 

Canadian Dollar Weakens in Parallel


The CAD USD rate forecast also took a hit, with the USD/CAD pair rising 0.1% to 1.4381 Canadian dollars. While the impact on the Canadian dollar was less pronounced than on the peso, it highlights growing unease in the market.

Trump’s threats of up to 25% tariffs on Canadian imports further exacerbate the situation. Analysts believe the expected impact of Trump tariffs on Canada could destabilize trade relations, particularly in industries like automotive manufacturing and agriculture.


 

Why Trump's Tariffs Are Fueling Currency Volatility


Trump’s latest tariffs on Colombia came in response to the country’s refusal to allow U.S. military planes carrying deported migrants to land on its soil. The President warned that these tariffs could escalate to 50% next week if Colombia continues to defy his immigration policies.

Such aggressive moves have sparked fears of broader economic repercussions. Trump's threats to impose similar tariffs on Mexico and Canada over immigration and trade practices have left forex markets on edge. These actions are reshaping the usd to mxn forecast and cad usd rate forecast, with traders bracing for further volatility.


 

Potential Long-Term Effects on the USD to MXN and CAD USD Rate

Mexican Peso

The usd to mxn forecast remains highly sensitive to U.S.-Mexico trade relations. Should tariffs increase, Mexico's export-driven economy could face significant challenges. Key sectors such as automotive manufacturing, which heavily rely on U.S. demand, may experience reduced output.

Additionally, the peso's value may continue to slide if investors pull out of Mexican markets, seeking safer assets like the U.S. dollar.

Canadian Dollar

The cad usd rate forecast indicates a more stable outlook compared to the peso, but risks remain. Canada's close trade ties with the United States mean that tariff threats could disrupt key industries. While Canada's diversified economy offers some insulation, its currency could still weaken if trade tensions escalate.


Navigating Forex Markets in the Face of Tariffs


For traders, understanding the usd to mxn forecast and cad usd rate forecast is crucial in navigating these volatile markets. Here are some key strategies:

  1. Monitor Political Developments: Stay updated on Trump's tariff policies and their potential effects on trade relations.
  2. Diversify Forex Portfolios: Consider hedging against currency risks by diversifying investments across multiple forex pairs.
  3. Analyze Historical Trends: Review past impacts of tariffs on the Mexican peso and Canadian dollar to inform future trading decisions.


 

Conclusion


The expected impact of Trump tariffs on global currencies is undeniable, with the Mexican peso and Canadian dollar bearing the brunt. As the usd to mxn forecast and cad usd rate forecast continue to evolve, traders and analysts must remain vigilant.

While short-term volatility is expected, the long-term implications will depend on how trade relations between the U.S., Mexico, and Canada unfold. For now, the forex market remains a reflection of geopolitical tensions, offering both challenges and opportunities for investors.



 




When considering shares, indices, forex (foreign exchange) and commodities for trading and price predictions, remember that trading CFDs involves a significant degree of risk and could result in capital loss. 

 

Past performance is not indicative of any future results. This information is provided for informative purposes only and should not be construed to be investment advice.


 


Risk Warning and Disclaimer: This article represents only the author’s views and is for reference only. It does not constitute investment advice or financial guidance, nor does it represent the stance of the Markets.com platform. Trading Contracts for Difference (CFDs) involves high leverage and significant risks. Before making any trading decisions, we recommend consulting a professional financial advisor to assess your financial situation and risk tolerance. Any trading decisions based on this article are at your own risk.

Vanessa L
Written by
Vanessa L
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Table of Contents
  • 1. Mexican Peso Declines Amid Tariff Threats
  • 2. Canadian Dollar Weakens in Parallel
  • 3. Why Trump's Tariffs Are Fueling Currency Volatility
  • 4. Potential Long-Term Effects on the USD to MXN and CAD USD Rate
  • 5. Mexican Peso
  • 6. Canadian Dollar
  • 7. Navigating Forex Markets in the Face of Tariffs
  • 8. Conclusion

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