EU, US Backing Ukraine Security Plan for Post-Conflict Era

EU, US Backing Ukraine Security Plan for Post-Conflict Era

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen has revealed that "quite precise plans" are being drawn up in European capitals for a potential military deployment to Ukraine post-conflict, as part of comprehensive security guarantees fully supported by the United States.

In an interview, von der Leyen explained that a "clear roadmap" is in the works, and these efforts have the full backing of the White House. She emphasized the critical importance of security guarantees, noting that the work is progressing well.

Von der Leyen's remarks came during a visit to eastern EU countries bordering Russia, where she focused on increasing defense spending and strengthening military preparedness across the European continent. Her statements coincided with European leaders preparing for a meeting aimed at solidifying commitments to Western forces.

Von der Leyen affirmed that European capitals are working on plans for the deployment of a "multinational force" backed by the United States, noting that former US President Donald Trump had assured US participation as part of this support.

Ukraine has requested concrete security guarantees from its Western allies, including ground troops, as part of efforts to end the Russo-Ukrainian conflict that has been ongoing for over three and a half years. These forces are expected to consist of tens of thousands of soldiers led by Europeans, with US support including command and control systems, intelligence, and surveillance.

This arrangement was reportedly agreed upon during a meeting between Trump, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, and senior European leaders last month.

Diplomatic sources revealed that participants in the Washington meeting with Trump will convene in Paris at the invitation of French President Emmanuel Macron to continue high-level discussions. Attendees will include German Chancellor Olaf Scholz, British Prime Minister Keir Starmer, NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg, and von der Leyen.

Von der Leyen pointed to a meeting of defense ministers from the "coalition of the willing" last week, where "precise plans" were developed, including discussions about "the necessary elements for assembling an effective force."

She added that deploying troops remains a crucial sovereign decision for each nation, emphasizing the strong sense of urgency and the ongoing progress in this matter.

After months of uncertainty regarding the US President's stance, von der Leyen praised Trump's commitment to peace efforts, noting that Trump desires peace, while Russian President Vladimir Putin is unwilling to sit at the negotiating table.

She affirmed that any Western military deployment in Ukraine post-conflict would aim to support Ukrainian forces, who would form the core of the deterrent force.

Von der Leyen announced that the European Commission will explore new funding sources to provide "sustainable financing for the Ukrainian armed forces as part of the security guarantees." She indicated that Kyiv will need "a significant number of soldiers with salaries and modern equipment" after any peace agreement, and the EU will have to contribute to this.

She clarified that current funding flows from Brussels to Ukraine, including budget support, must continue in peacetime, implying the need to provide "an additional amount for the Ukrainian armed forces."

The EU will also continue to fund the training of Ukrainian soldiers after any peace agreement. It is encouraging member states to use a €150 billion "loans-for-weapons" fund, either to enter joint production agreements with Ukrainian defense companies or to purchase weapons that can be given to Kyiv.

Von der Leyen emphasized the crucial role of the Commission in enabling member states to finance increased defense spending, noting that the nature of the conflict has completely changed, with emphasis on the need for European armies to invest in drones, air and missile defense, space, and cyber capabilities.

Analyzing the Plan's Potential Impact

The proposed plan for multinational force deployment in Ukraine raises several important considerations. From a geopolitical perspective, such a deployment could serve as a strong deterrent against future Russian aggression. However, it also carries the risk of escalating tensions and potentially drawing NATO allies into a more direct conflict with Russia.

From a security standpoint, a well-trained and equipped multinational force could significantly enhance Ukraine's ability to defend its borders and maintain stability. However, the effectiveness of such a force would depend on factors such as the size of the deployment, the level of US support, and the willingness of European nations to commit resources.

Economically, the proposed security guarantees, including sustainable financing for the Ukrainian armed forces, could provide a much-needed boost to Ukraine's economy. However, it would also require significant financial commitments from the EU and the US, potentially diverting resources from other areas.